摩根士丹利发表研究报告指,西藏雅鲁藏布江下游水电项目于7月19日正式动工,总投资达1.2万亿元。该行预期在建设阶段,水泥和钢铁行业将直接受益,预计项目总水泥需求量达2000万至3000万吨,年均需求100万至150万吨。其中,华新水泥西藏生产基地距离项目仅400公里,大摩预期华新水泥将成为最大受益者,同时中国建材及海螺水泥西藏产能也将受惠。 该行又指,后期水电站设备及输电电缆将带动铜及铝材需求,项目投产后年发电量超过3,000亿度,除优先外送电力外,充裕的电力供应或将刺激当地数据中心等用电密集型项目投资,进一步利好铜及铝的需求,但可能对火电及动力煤需求构成压力。
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