【券商聚焦】中泰国际:资金市下板块轮动延续

金吾财讯
Yesterday

金吾财讯 | 中泰国际发布策略周报指,中国二季度经济增长超预期,或侧面反映短期强刺激政策的必要性有所下降,但细看6月经济结构仍分化,生产和出口坚挺,消费和投资走弱,地产仍在磨底,政策重心更可能聚焦结构性托举,料后续港股整体盈利增长修复或相对温和。尽管金管局再回收港元,但1个月HIBOR已跌至1%以下,资金面仍比较充裕,港股通持续净流入叠加外资流入积极性较高,资金市有望助力港股高位盘整。港股大盘延续板块轮动迹象,市场在内外政策交织的窗口维持结构博弈,但避险情绪与政策观望情绪仍一定程度制约指数大幅上行的空间。短期关注内部政策预期、谈判反转预期的催化,或带动个股“追落后”,关注美联储政策预期变化和中期业绩指引。操作上坚守高股息(电讯/公用事业/金融)防御底仓,静候内外政策催化下的风格切换机遇,关注AI算力、半导体设备及生物医药等成长方向的逢低布局点。

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