中金发表报告，预期金山软件第二季收入22.9亿元，按年下滑7.5%；预计当季录得经营利润4亿元，对应经营利润率17.5%。金山软件联营公司金山云于4月17日公告配售及金山软件根据特别授权认购新股份的关联交易；交易完成后，金山软件于金山云的持股比例由交易前的37.4%降至35.59%。 基于对新游戏表现的审慎假设，该行下调金山软件2025年和2026年收入预测各2.4%/3.1%至110.7亿和123.6亿元；综合考虑2025年收入下调的影响与金山云视同处置的一次性收益，维持2025年净利润预测基本不变；考虑到2026年收入下调以及集团AI相关投入增加，下调2026年净利润预测17.9%至19亿元。该行维持对其“跑赢行业”评级和目标价50港元。
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