港股异动 | 光伏股尾盘跌幅扩大 6月光伏装机断崖式下跌 多晶硅后续需求有继续走弱风险

智通财经
25 Jul

智通财经APP获悉,光伏股尾盘跌幅扩大,截至发稿,新特能源(01799)跌4.41%,报7.16港元;福莱特玻璃(06865)跌3.72%,报10.88港元;福耀玻璃(03606)跌2.45%,报57.65港元;信义光能(00968)跌0.92%,报3.24港元。

消息面上,7月23日,国家能源局发布1-6月份全国电力工业统计数据显示,6月太阳能发电新增装机量为14.36GW,同比下降38%,相较于5月的92.92GW,环比大幅回落85%,呈现断崖式下跌。业内人士指出,这一现象与“530政策”节点后抢装潮退坡直接相关。InfoLink高级分析师方文正指出,市场化电价带来的收益不确定性,使投资方趋于谨慎,部分已招标项目被迫终止。

中信期货发布研报称,7月以来硅产业链供应端消息层出不穷,多晶硅作为能源品价格也出现明显抬升。供给端,预计6-7月多晶硅产量将回升至10万吨以上,中长期来看需要关注反内卷政策是否会限制多晶硅的供应。需求端,1-5月份光伏装机增速大幅度提高,透支了下半年装机的需求。考虑到下半年光伏装机的下降,多晶硅后续需求有继续走弱的风险。总体来看,多晶硅供需现实仍有压力,关注资金情绪以及后续政策落地情况,如若政策落地不及预期价格也存在反向波动风险。

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