智通财经APP获悉，美银证券发布研报称，分别下调康师傅(00322)2025及26年销售预测2%及3%，但基于利润率表现较好，上调2025年每股盈利预测4%，且不排除资产处置可带来一次性收益。同时，考虑到饮料销售隐忧，下调2026年每股盈利预测3%，目标价相应调降3%由14.3港元降至13.9港元。不过，康师傅具备稳定股东回报纪录，在100%派息率下提供逾6%收益率;重申“买入”评级。
该行指，康师傅上半年饮品及即食面销售额分别有中单位数及低单位数下跌。饮品业务方面，该行料碳酸饮品以外的产品销售跌幅，将由次季中旬的中单位数扩大至近月的高单位数。除了因先前加价导致的市场份额流失外，内地外卖战推动中低价位手摇茶饮销售，对定位相近的康师傅即饮饮品造成冲击，加上无糖茶的市场份额攀升，侵蚀原本为康师傅优势领域的含糖茶市场份额。相较于农夫山泉(09633)无糖茶产品占比逾60%，康师傅的无糖茶产品占比仅有中单位数。
即食面业务方面，虽然上半年销售有所下跌，但凭借品牌优势、渠道实力以及在特别渠道中推出高性价比的新品，近期市占率已逐步回稳。 若环比跌幅持续收窄，不排除下半年可恢复持平或微幅增长。
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