投资建议我们认为下半年煤炭供给释放有望更加理性,结合需求或边际改善,煤价可能整体呈现反弹回升的态势,助力行业盈利修复。长远来看,行业盈利持续性是核心,我们预计远期煤价中枢有望随边际成本抬升而上行,资源禀赋优异、成本低的企业有望穿越周期。理由跳出煤炭看煤炭,但核心还是盈利可持续性。煤价下跌而煤炭板块坚挺,主要是:1)煤企仍有相对较好的获利能力、2)更加轻盈的资产负债表、3)“资产荒”下分红仍有吸引力...
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