BlockBeats 消息,7 月 27 日,在政治压力加剧、贸易政策生变与经济信号矛盾的复杂背景下,美联储主席鲍威尔与其同僚将于下周进入议息会议。此次决议恰逢罕见的数据密集周——美国政府将接连发布 GDP、就业报告及美联储核心通胀指标。尽管市场普遍预期联储将再次按兵不动,但这一系列数据或将重塑政策路径。经济学家预测,下周三公布的美国二季度 GDP 年化增速有望达 2.4%(较一季度的萎缩 0.5% 显著改善),但这主要得益于贸易赤字急剧收窄。周五公布的 7 月非农报告预计将印证企业招聘趋于谨慎。在 6 月教育行业就业激增推高数据后,本月新增就业料将放缓,失业率或微升至 4.2%。美国政府 6 月个人收支报告预计将显示,美联储青睐的核心通胀指标环比略有加速,表明关税只是逐渐转嫁到消费者身上。(金十)
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