大行评级|海通国际:大幅上调快手目标价至91港元 预计次季总收入按年增长12%

格隆汇
Jul 28, 2025

海通国际发表报告,预计快手次季总收入为346亿元,按年增长12%。其中,直播收入预计按年增长5%,在线广告收入按年增长13%,电商GMV按年增长15%,对应收入为34亿元。盈利能力方面,次季调整后净利润预计为50亿元,对应净利润率为15%。展望2025财年全年,该行预计快手总收入为1415亿元,按年增长12%,非通用会计准则(non-GAAP)净利润为200亿元,按年增长14%,对应净利润率为14%。其中,直播、在线广告和电商收入分别预计为380亿、825亿及210亿元。 在快手稳健的传统业务和可灵AI快速崛起的背景下,该行对其2025年non-GAAP净利润200亿元应用18倍市盈率(此前为12倍),目标价相应由62港元大幅上调47%至91港元。考虑到可灵AI的领先地位和主营业务的健康增长,维持“优于大市”评级。

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