智通财经APP获悉,光伏股午后跌幅扩大,截至发稿,彩虹新能源(00438)跌6.22%,报2.26港元;信义玻璃(00868)跌4.76%,报8.41港元;新特能源(01799)跌2.1%,报6.99港元;福莱特玻璃(06865)跌1.28%,报10.82港元。
消息面上,周一,多晶硅主力合约触及跌停,报47750元/吨。国家能源局近日发布1-6月份全国电力工业统计数据显示,6月太阳能发电新增装机量为14.36GW,同比下降38%,相较于5月的92.92GW,环比大幅回落85%,呈现断崖式下跌;欧洲光伏协会近日发布年中分析预测,预计2025年欧盟新增太阳能装机将为64.2GW,同比下降1.4%,这可能将是自2015年以来欧盟光伏新增装机首次出现负增长。
国泰海通证券此前指出,430新政下分布式光伏量价皆不保,盈利不确定性大幅增加,过去“装好电站等收钱”的躺赚模式彻底终结。531新政出台,推动新能源全面进入市场交易,从目前新能源参与市场化交易的结算电价看,普遍较燃煤基准价大幅折价,预计新能源全面入市后结算电价或将进一步下降。该行认为新能源新政带来的未来现金流确定性下降,将有望促使新能源装机开始下降,2024年将可能成为历史新能源装机的大顶。
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