研报掘金|中金:上调农夫山泉目标价至54港元 预计上半年利润按年增长20%

格隆汇
25 Jul

中金发表报告指出,预计农夫山泉今年上半年收入按年增长18%,利润按年增长20%,收入增长高于市场预期,主要由于茶饮及果汁表现胜预期,利润增长基本符合预期。中金也预计果汁上半年按年增长超20%,主要由水溶C100带动,100%果汁亦表现强劲;功能饮料及其他产品如咖啡、苏打水上半年按年增长双位数。整体看,公司在去年舆论影响后,今年通过产品力巩固、渠道力强化及品牌营销深入展现出较强韧性,市场份额提升。 考虑公司动销势头强劲,中金分别上调2025年及2026年盈利预测5%、7%至147亿、168亿元,当前对应32倍、28倍2025和2026年市盈率;考虑行业估值上行,上调目标价35%至54港元,分别对应38倍、33倍2025、2026年市盈率和20%空间,维持“跑赢行业”评级。

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