美银证券发表研究报告指，中石化上半年经营数据逊预期，其勘探与生产(E&P)业务符合预期，油气产量按年升2%，达全年目标的50%，但国内原油产量仅按年微增0.2%，低于行业平均的1.3%，将拖累税后净利润(NAPT)。炼油业务方面，加工量显著下降5.3%，而行业平均为增长1.6%，主要因核心炼油总利润(GRM)低迷、需求疲弱及产能检修。销售方面，销量按年跌3.4%，优于行业平均跌幅5.8%，并从同行中抢占市场份额；而化工方面，乙烯产量按年升16.4%，增速高于行业平均10.9%。 该行维持原油市场中性观点，预测今年下半年油价每桶64美元。近期“反内卷”政策对油气板块支持有限。另外，发改委日前公布新政策，强化节能与碳排放审批监管。该行认为中石化或能从中受惠，因集团已投资建设该规划中主要的新化工产能，但短期影响有限；考虑估值不高及预测今年股息率可观，重申“买入”评级，H股目标价4.8港元，A股目标价6.6元。
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