研报掘金丨长江证券:北京银行估值明显被低估,予“增持”评级

格隆汇
Jul 25

长江证券研报指出,北京银行是全国广泛布局的城商行龙头,2024 年末在全国12 个省及直辖市、中国香港、荷兰阿姆斯特丹设有628 家分支机构。近年来已经持续优化精简机构数量,提高运行效率。信贷区域结构向长三角等核心地区集中,2023 年提出“在长三角再造一个北京银行”,2021~2024 年上海、浙江、江苏地区贷款复合增速达到17%,明显高于全行增速,2024 年浙江地区贷款大幅增长25%,成为增量、存量占比最高的异地区域。盈利稳定的红利型资产,低估值存在修复空间基本面维度,随着存量风险出清,预计资产质量趋势改善;资负结构稳定低波保障息差相对稳定,随着存款成本持续改善,净息差下行压力预计收敛。近年分红比例维持30%水平,预计未来保持稳定,2025年预期股息率4.7%,具备吸引力。2025年PB估值仅0.50x,在银行股整体估值中枢系统性抬升背景下,作为龙头大型城商行,估值明显被低估,给予“增持”评级。

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