东方证券研报指出,市场认为上汽集团合资品牌燃油车销量下降将可能影响合资品牌盈利能力,担心合资品牌将可能拖累上汽整体盈利水平;该行认为合资品牌在去年通过去库存、去产能、计提减值等手段进行内部调整,今年“轻装上阵”的合资品牌销量将有望企稳向上,盈利能力有望逐步改善,预计上汽通用等合资品牌将不会成为公司盈利负担。上汽通用2季度销量同环比向上,新车将有望带动上汽通用下半年销量及盈利继续企稳。随着去库存、去产能、计提减值等调整工作逐步完成,预计今年“轻装上阵”的合资品牌将有望迎来盈利能力改善。预测2025-2027年EPS分别为0.95、1.03、1.15元,维持可比公司25年PE平均估值25倍,目标价23.75元,维持“买入”评级。
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