华安证券研报指出,苏泊尔Q2收入56.9亿(同比+1.9%),归母净利润4.4亿(同比-5.9%),Q2利润下滑主因出口业务综合影响+投资收益下降。内销:预计Q2收入同比高个位数增长,相较Q1低个位数增长已有边际提速,主因国补拉动下景气抬升,参考奥维厨小零售额Q1/Q2各+2.5/+17.3%;外销:预计Q2下滑,相较Q1同比双位数增长降速较多,主因Q1提前出货,Q2面临关税和高基数压力。内销行业竞争+外销关税扰动的双重压力下,公司业绩稳健彰显韧性。展望H2:内销国补延续+创新驱动战略,公司有望持续跑赢行业;外销对美敞口较小且炊具已越南出货,全年SEB关联交易指引维持+5%。若分红率参考历史100%则股息率超5%,稳健高分红标的,维持“买入”评级。
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