欧洲天然气价格连续第二周下跌,充足的供应和稳定的燃料储备使市场目前保持相对平静状态。
连续六天下跌后,基准期货周五收盘上涨0.4%,本周累计下跌3.3%。近期价格在窄幅区间内震荡,历史10日波动率已迈向2019年以来最低水平。
这发生在6月市场波动加剧的时期之后,当时中东局势紧张提醒市场仍处于紧张状态,容易出现剧烈价格波动。欧洲的供应平衡尤其容易受到潜在中断的影响,该地区正加紧重建天然气库存以应对冬季。
目前,欧洲受益于液化天然气进口量强劲以及西北欧主要消费地区天气相对温和。然而,价格下跌可能受到其他地区天然气需求上升的限制,尤其是埃及,因为欧洲正与之竞争燃料供应。
欧洲天然气基准荷兰近月期货在阿姆斯特丹收盘报每兆瓦时32.50欧元。
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