大摩:保险产品预定利率上限下调 纾缓内险利率风险疑虑

智通财经
28 Jul

智通财经APP获悉,大摩发布研报称,中保协最新公布的预定利率研究值为1.99%,低于4月的2.13%和1月的2.34%,显示利率持续下降。多家保险公司宣布在8月底前进一步下调利率,普通型产品从2.5%降至2%,分红型产品从2%降至1.5%,万能型产品从1.5%降至1%。

报告指,自2023年下半年以来,监管机构和保险公司已采取一系列措施减轻利差损失风险,预计这一趋势将持续。8月后,保险公司新资金流入的保证负债成本预计将降至约1.7%,可提高盈利能力,相对目前长期利率高于1.7%。该行指,保险公司表现强劲的关键驱动因素包括近期利率上调、稳健的2025年上半年业绩预告,以及有利的市场情绪和资金流向。

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