研报掘金丨中金:予福莱特“跑赢行业”评级,目标价18.51元

格隆汇
Jul 28, 2025

中金公司研报指出,福莱特在产能、成本、利润均优势明显,α属性凸显。行业处于周期底部,25 年光伏玻璃新一轮周期有望开启,板块ROE水平跑赢光伏行业。认为2025年是新一轮周期开始时间,本轮周期已经经历了需求增长,产能增加,价格及利润上行,当前时间点需求下行,在利润压迫下开启了第二轮产能出清,本轮周期结束后,利润端我们预期一线企业将率先回归合理盈利水平,实现单平净利约1-1.5元,二线企业有望从亏损现金成本转为盈亏平衡。此外,光伏玻璃板块2024年ROE仍然维持在4.58%,跑赢光伏其他板块,认为玻璃板块抗风险能力较强,具备长期投资价值。给予“跑赢行业”评级,给予A股目标价18.51元。

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