智通财经APP获悉，海通国际发布研报称，2025至2027年小菜园(00999)营收各65.4亿、79.3亿及94.3亿元人民币，同比各增25%、21%及19%，经调净利润各7.4亿、9.2亿及11亿元人民币，同比各增27%、24%及19%。基于小菜园处于品牌上升期且门店拓展提速，给予2025年20倍市盈率，对应合理市值159亿港元，目标价13.5港元，首次覆盖给予“优于大市”评级。
该行称，小菜园是大众便民中式餐饮领导者。2024年截至8月，公司的门店层面经营利润率为17.8%。该行预计，得益于门店面积优化缩减固定成本、炒菜机器人投入提升人效、规模效应显现推动原材料端成本进一步摊薄，以及品牌力增强带来的租金议价权提升，2025年门店经营利润率有望回升至20%以上。开店空间方面，经测算小菜园开店空间广阔，预计门店数量可超2500家。
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