花旗发表研究报告指,华能国际电力股份上半年业绩胜预期,净利润按年升23.2%至95.78亿元,较市场及该行预期高,期内单位煤炭成本按年跌10.1%。该行预期未来12至18个月现货煤价将因需求减弱而进一步下行,足以抵消煤炭行业供给侧改革带来的价格支持,而且公司自由现金流改善,股息率有望提升。因此,该行重申华能国电“买入”评级;基于煤价成本下调,将2025至27年净利润预测上调19至23%,H股目标价升15%至6.2港元,A股目标价升14%至8.8元,当前股息收益率分别为7.8%及5.1%,具吸引力。
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