据生意社商品行情分析系统,7月份国内涤纶短纤价格小幅震荡下行,截止7月30日国内涤纶短纤(1.4D*38mm)市场均价在6613元/吨,较月初下跌1.81%。
近期多空因素共同影响,美国传统燃油消费旺季仍在,供应端风险并未消除,国际油价短期内维持震荡为主。截止7月29日,美国WTI原油期货9月合约结算价报69.21美元/桶,布伦特原油期货9月合约结算价报72.51美元/桶。
7月国内PTA现货市场行情呈现V型走势,截止7月30日华东地区PTA市场均价在4889元/吨,较月初下跌3.79%。上半月原油震荡成本支撑有限,PTA产业扩能预期叠加聚酯减产预期,供需双弱之下,PTA呈现偏弱格局。但随着宏观情绪回暖,商品走势坚挺,受此影响PTA市场弱势反弹。
高温天气、传统淡季等多重因素影响需求改善乏力,下游纱线工厂订单不足,亏损开始扩大,采购积极性受阻,维持刚需采购。月末宏观情绪回暖气氛之下,刺激买盘情绪,需求小幅增加。
生意社分析师认为,宏观情绪回暖成本弱势反弹,终端低位有所补库,涤纶短纤工厂库存压力有所缓解。但后续供需预期仍偏弱,上行驱动有限,预计8月份涤纶短纤价格仍以跟随成本端及需求波动为主。
(文章来源:生意社)
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