智通财经APP获悉,瑞银发布研报称,潍柴动力(02338)股价年初至今已升50%,表现好过恒指,亦接近该行原先目标价。该行认为现价已反映数据中心引擎需求爆发的正面展望,以及设备以旧换新补贴带动的投资情绪改善。基于传统引擎业务受电动卡车冲击持续疲弱,下调2025至27年盈利预测2至5%,评级由“买入”下调至“中性”,而目标价则由18.2港元升至18.5港元。
该行指,受数据中心需求推动,公司的大缸径发动机处于结构性增长阶段,预期利润将从2024年的8亿元人民币,增至2027年近30亿元,意味三年复合增长率为50%。但传统业务增长受限,因电动卡车渗透率速度超出预期。因此,该行料公司整体2024至27年盈利年均复合增长率为9%。
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