智通财经APP获悉，摩根士丹利发布研报称，经概率加权计算后，将友邦保险(01299)目标价从91港元上调至96港元。此次调整主要反映估值基准从2025年预测，转换至2025至2026年预测平均值，以及财务模型的更新。
大摩预期友邦2025年上半年新业务价值按固定汇率计算增长19%，其中第二季增长26%，主要受香港业务强劲表现推动。各项关键指标预计将维持健康增长趋势，但中期业绩预计不会宣布新一轮股份回购计划。
基于业务表现，大摩将友邦2025年全年按固定汇率计算新业务价值增长预测，从13.3%小幅上调至14.5%，惟经营利利润可能因税率上升而受到影响。 整体而言，尽管面临市场波动及GMT会计准则实施的挑战，该行认为友邦保险各项财务指标将持续稳健，并较2024年进一步改善。
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