摩根士丹利发表研究报告指,恒生银行中期净利润68.8亿港元,按年下跌逾30.5%,较市场普遍预期逊色,主要受到高信贷减值拨备损失所导致。拨备前利润较大摩预测低2.7%,但较市场预期高9%。净利息收入逊于大摩预期,但较市场预期高1%。受贷款余额减少及市场利率下行影响,净息差收窄至1.99%。贷款较去年下半年跌2%,存款则升3%。中期非利息收入胜预期,恒生归因于经纪及财富管理费用表现强劲。 大摩指出,恒生信贷减值拨备规模大幅超出预期,相信是由于香港商业地产敞口拨备增加。期内不良贷款率升至6.69%。该行宣布将进行高达30亿港元的股份回购,预料在六个月内完成,大摩认为符预期。该行认为,恒生整体中期表现弱于预期,考虑到香港商业地产行业阴霾未散,仍维持对其“减持”评级,目标价为93港元。
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