申万宏源研究指出，工商银行稳居港股大行股息率之首，低波红利属性更突出。回顾看，过去五年（2019-2024 年）工行总体保持稳健的盈利表现，归母净利润CAGR 为3.2%），背后映射了在资产质量“底盘”相对稳定的基础上，稳步改善的信用成本支撑ROE 维持11.5%的中枢水平。基于盈利稳定这一核心前提，看到工行（H）对应25年股息率约5.6%、为港股大行最高，有望持续吸引以险资为代表的中长期资金流入（2024年12月，中国平安已举牌工行-H）。银行业“哑铃”格局愈发明朗，作为金融稳定的压舱石，“做优做强”国有大行是明确方向；与此同时，伴随长期、耐心资本入市，权重个股也有望直接受益、率先享受估值修复，首次覆盖给予“买入”评级。
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