大行评级|美银:下调恒生银行目标价至93.6港元 重申“跑输大市”评级

格隆汇
31 Jul

美银证券发表研报指出,恒生银行上半年收入按年增长2.7%,达210亿港元,拨备前利润按年增长3.9%,达134亿港元,超市场预期分别2%及6%。然而,净利润按年下降34.6%至63亿港元,逊市场预期22%,因拨备增加两倍。上半年净资产收益率(ROE)按年下降4.5个百分点至7.9%。普通股权一级资本(CET1)比率按半年上升3.6个百分点至21.3%,部分得益于《巴塞尔协定三》规则的实施。上半年股息按年增长8.3%至每股2.6港元,派息比率按年上升30个百分点至78%。 美银证券又表示,恒生宣布高达30亿港元的回购计划,将于六个月内完成。该行将恒生2025至2027年盈利预测下调10%至18%,主要因信贷成本上升(2025至2027年预计分别为110基点、85基点、75基点),但因HIBOR下跌导致无风险利率下降,将股本成本下调50基点至8.5%。该行将恒生银行目标价由102港元下调8%至93.6港元,由于盈利逆风及不良贷款覆盖率低,重申“跑输大市”评级。

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