经络:美联储有机会于四季度降息 届时港元拆息上升压力或缓和

智通财经
31 Jul

智通财经APP获悉,经络按揭转介首席副总裁曹德明表示,近月港元持续触发“弱方兑换保证”,香金管局今晨第七度入市买港元,银行体系总结余将跌至825.52亿港元,银行体系总结余持续回落,使HIBOR近月反复回升。虽然HIBOR走势反复,不过美联储有机会于四季度首次降息,届时或会有资金流入香港市场,缓和港元拆息上升压力;美国“大而美”法案通过后,市场认为部分资金或流向亚洲区市场,预计香港银行会根据自身商业策略,不排除下调最优惠利率,届时预计HIBOR亦有机会跟随回落。

7月31日,汇丰银行宣布最优惠利率(P)维持不变。曹德明称,香港银行于去年三度下调最优惠利率,幅度及速度均高于市场预期,银行因应美息走势以及资金成本考量,未有调整最优惠利率。

今日一个月HIBOR报1.03%,预计HIBOR或挑战1.5%水平。曹德明指,虽然HIBOR升至1%水平,以普遍H按计划“H+1.3%”计算,H按实际按息为2.33%,仍较封顶息率3.5%低出1.17%。对于目前正在供楼的业主,只要HIBOR维持2.2%以下,仍可以低于封顶息率供楼。

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