瑞银发研报,国家工信部数据显示,中国电讯行业第二季服务收入按年增长1.3%,增速较首季的0.7%略为加快,但仍低于2024年的3.2%,主要受宏观不利因素影响。该行指,当局持续强调央企应注重股东回报及投资回报率,预料电讯商将转向聚焦成本效率及净利润增长,而非收入扩张,认为电讯行业估值具吸引力,中资电讯股明年股息率料介乎6%至7%。瑞银目前预测中国移动、中国电信、中国联通第二季服务收入分别按年增长1%、1.8%及1.5%,假设传统电信业务趋于平稳,以及企业业务收入增长放缓,预测次季净利润将分别按年增长4.1%、5.2%及5.1%,主要受到销售费用减少及折旧减少推动。瑞银将中国电信及中国联通目标价,由6.6及10.5港元,上调至6.8及10.8港元,中国移动目标价则维持101港元,全数给予买入评级。
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