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To be a Carvana shareholder, you’ll need confidence in the company’s ability to scale its operational footprint efficiently while defending margins in a highly competitive used-car market. The latest earnings and expansion news materially support the short-term catalyst of boosting operational efficiency but persistent risks remain around execution, especially the challenge of integrating new facilities without driving up costs or impacting margin stability.
Among recent announcements, Carvana’s integration of Inspection and Reconditioning Center capabilities at ADESA Seattle stands out. This move directly supports the company’s central catalyst: expanding reconditioning capacity to process more vehicles, which could allow for higher sales volumes and quicker deliveries, key pillars for short-term and longer-term growth ambitions.
However, as Carvana grows, a critical question remains about whether its rapid scaling could expose shareholders to...
Read the full narrative on Carvana (it's free!)
Carvana's narrative projects $27.2 billion in revenue and $1.6 billion in earnings by 2028. This requires 22.4% yearly revenue growth and a $1.2 billion earnings increase from the current earnings of $398.0 million.
Uncover how Carvana's forecasts yield a $338.55 fair value, a 13% downside to its current price.
Twelve fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community range widely from US$62.76 to US$361.57 per share. While opinions differ, efficient scaling of Carvana’s facility network will be crucial for future performance, making it worthwhile to review alternative perspectives before deciding for yourself.
Explore 12 other fair value estimates on Carvana - why the stock might be worth less than half the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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