国泰海通|金工:综合量化模型和日历效应,8月大概率小市值风格占优、价值风格占优

国泰海通证券研究
Aug 04, 2025

报告导读:本报告对大小盘轮动月度策略、价值成长轮动月度策略以及风格因子表现进行跟踪。综合风格轮动量化模型信号,以及历史上8月的日历效应,我们认为8月大概率小市值风格占优、价值风格占优。大小盘风格轮动月度策略。7月底量化模型最新信号为0.5,继续指向小盘;历史上8月小盘略占优,建议8月继续超配小盘风格。中长期观点,当前市值因子估值价差为1.1,距离历史顶部区域1.7~2.6仍有距离,中长期并不拥挤,...

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