大行评级|招银国际:首予中国生物制药“买入”评级及目标价9.4港元

格隆汇
Aug 01, 2025

招银国际发表研报,首次覆盖中国生物制药,予其“买入”评级,并基于10年的现金流折现模型(DCF)的目标价为9.4港元,对应2026年经调整市盈率37倍。该行认为,中生制药的创新药迎来收获期,生物类似药快速增长,化学仿制药业务保持稳健。根据医药魔方数据,公司目前已获批的7款生物类似药的样本医院市场容量合计为240亿元(2024年)。考虑到中生制药在国内的成熟销售网络,该行预计其生物类似药销售有望快速放量,特别是首仿帕妥珠单抗。 招银国际预计,中生制药收入在2025年、2026年、2027年,分别按年增长11.4%、10.5%、9.6%,经调整净利润分别按年增长12.2%、11.5%、10.5%。基于谨慎的考虑,招银国际的预测目前尚未考虑公司多个重磅创新产品的潜在海外授权BD贡献。

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