金吾财讯 | 中信证券表示,当前半导体周期仍处于上行通道,其中AI持续强劲,泛工业接棒消费电子也进入复苏阶段。该机构认为,2025H2中国半导体产业趋势最值得关注仍然是AI,此外并购整合加速、融资环境改善是另外两个值得重视的趋势。具体来看,海外AI产业持续超预期,与此同时国产基座大模型持续迭代、与海外大模型差距呈螺旋式收窄趋势,并拉动国内算力需求持续增长,国内半导体产业在新一轮AI浪潮下的受益程度显著提升,该机构从中梳理出两大主线,其中1)云端看国产替代;2)终端看下游增量。
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