招金矿业(1818.HK)今日盘中一度涨超8.7%，最高触及21.18港元。 消息面上，上周美国非农数据大幅低于预期，年内降息预期大幅提升，贵金属价格上行动力再次增强。现货黄金上周五一度突破3360美元/盎司，为7月25日来首次，最终收涨2.2%。另外，花旗上调未来0-3个月黄金价格预测至3500美元/盎司，此前预测为3300美元/盎司。 公司层面，中金此前发表研究报告，再次覆盖招金矿业，给予“跑赢行业”评级，目标价为27港元。公司成长动能强劲的理由包括：公司预计海域金矿达产后年产黄金15至20吨，归属于公司权益产量约10.5至14吨，其或将成为国内最大在产黄金矿山之一；其次，招金矿业于2024年6月私有化铁拓矿业，同时完成西金矿业收购。中金预计，后续招金或将以铁拓矿业和西金矿业为支点持续扩张，加速国际化进程，助力公司开创“国内一半、国外一半”的发展新局。 另外，中邮证券研报指，考虑到招金矿业海域金矿有望在27年后逐步投产释放产量，其低成本与高产量有望在未来显著增厚公司业绩，给予“买入”评级。
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