金吾财讯 | 交银国际研报指,新东方(09901)2025 财年4季度收入同比增9.4%,超该机构/彭博预期2%/5%。不含东方甄选,教育/文旅收入同比增19%,教育运营利润率6.5%,较去年同期提升410个基点,得益于有效的降本增效举措。管理层指引2026财年集团收入增5-10%,对比市场预期的12%(Visible Alpha),主要调整仍然在于出国相关业务增速预期调整至下降5%,K12相关业务增速维持市场预期(19%)。公司加速成本优化,致力于全年实现运营利润率稳定或微增目标。该机构下调2026/27财年公司收入约3%,预计收入增速10%/14%,下调运营利润约17%,预计运营利润率10.2%/10.5%,较2025财年微增。该机构仍然看好K12教培相关业务需求及增长前景,1季度指引低于预期主要受到季节性因素影响,2-4季度增速将恢复。该机构调整估值方法至SOTP,分别给与2026财年K12业务15倍/留学业务8倍市盈率,对应利润增速分别+22%/-10%,维持目标价46港元/59美元(EDU US/买入),股东回馈将常态化,维持买入。
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