穆迪首席经济学家:美国经济正处于衰退边缘

金融界
Aug 04, 2025
穆迪分析首席经济学家Mark Zandi在上周一系列疲弱经济数据发布后警告称,美国经济正处于衰退边缘。最新指标显示经济正在停滞,消费者支出已陷入停滞,建筑与制造业陷入萎缩,就业料将走弱。同时,高通胀使美联储可能出台的政策支持进一步复杂化。失业率保持在低位,但主要是因为劳动力增长已经停滞,移民劳动力数量减少,劳动参与率下降。当前就业市场正出现大规模冻结招聘的紧缩现象,以及平均工作时长减少,这些都是就业压力加剧的信号。他将当前经济放缓的很大一部分归因于华盛顿的政策选择,关税正在侵蚀企业利润与家庭购买力,而移民减少则限制了经济的总体增长潜力。

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