Did Coherent's (COHR) AI Partnership and New Optical Chip Just Shift Its Investment Narrative?

Simply Wall St.
05 Aug
  • In late July 2025, Coherent announced the launch of its 56 Gbaud PAM4 transimpedance amplifier for next-generation optical transceivers and revealed a new partnership with Bell Canada to provide proprietary, secure AI solutions for government and enterprise customers across Canada.
  • These developments highlight Coherent's focus on expanding its reach in AI and communications markets, while also reinforcing the company's commitment to innovation and deepening industry collaborations.
  • We'll examine how the partnership with Bell Canada could accelerate Coherent's expansion into sovereign AI and enterprise infrastructure markets.

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Coherent Investment Narrative Recap

To own Coherent, you have to believe in the company's ability to deliver innovative technologies for optical communications and AI markets, while managing near-term pressure in its industrial and materials business. The Bell Canada partnership sharpens Coherent’s competitive edge in sovereign AI and enterprise infrastructure, bringing the potential to influence revenue trajectories, but does not fundamentally alter the short-term catalyst, which continues to hinge on successful portfolio optimization and margin improvement, nor does it eliminate the overriding risk from softness in industrial demand.

Among recent announcements, Coherent’s July launch of the 56 Gbaud PAM4 transimpedance amplifier is directly relevant, as it underscores the company's push to expand its optical communications portfolio, an area closely tied to its growth catalyst of advanced datacenter and telecommunication products ramping up over the next quarters.

However, against these growth opportunities, investors should not lose sight of ongoing risks around

Read the full narrative on Coherent (it's free!)

Coherent's outlook projects $7.2 billion in revenue and $650.7 million in earnings by 2028. This assumes 8.5% annual revenue growth and a $682.4 million increase in earnings from the current level of -$31.7 million.

Uncover how Coherent's forecasts yield a $103.02 fair value, a 3% downside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

COHR Community Fair Values as at Aug 2025

Simply Wall St Community members contributed 6 fair value estimates for Coherent ranging from US$51.56 to US$103.02 per share. While the company’s efforts in portfolio optimization remain a key short-term catalyst, you’ll find contrasting views on how this could impact future earnings and share value, explore several perspectives to challenge your own assumptions.

Explore 6 other fair value estimates on Coherent - why the stock might be worth as much as $103.02!

Build Your Own Coherent Narrative

Disagree with existing narratives? Create your own in under 3 minutes - extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd.

  • A great starting point for your Coherent research is our analysis highlighting 1 key reward that could impact your investment decision.
  • Our free Coherent research report provides a comprehensive fundamental analysis summarized in a single visual - the Snowflake - making it easy to evaluate Coherent's overall financial health at a glance.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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