港股异动 | 纸业股走强,晨鸣纸业涨近9%,涨价与反内卷驱动板块反弹

智通财经
Aug 05

8月5日,港股纸业股走高,截至发稿,晨鸣纸业涨近9%,理文造纸涨超7%,玖龙纸业涨超6%,建发新胜涨超4%。

消息面上,据证券时报,进入8月,造纸行业便迎来一轮涨价潮。玖龙纸业、理文造纸、山鹰国际等龙头企业近日相继发布涨价函,宣布自8月1日起上调多款产品价格。这已是7月以来包装纸行业发起的第四轮涨价,显示出行业调价频率明显加快。今年以来,造纸企业已在1月—3月和5月进行过两轮提价,而本轮主要是包装纸价格上涨。原材料、能源及物流等成本上升成为此轮涨价的主要推动因素。

此前,广东省造纸行业协会发布《关于推动广东省造纸行业“反内卷”促进行业高质量发展的倡议书》。浙商证券认为,造纸行业作为产能供需失衡、盈利底部区间的周期行业,有望受益于“反内卷”。从行业当前经营状态看,造纸行业底部较为夯实,一方面经历多年扩产后,行业25-26年新增产能较为有限,另一方面当前各细分纸种纸价、开工率多处于周期底部区间、库存合理,本轮“反内卷”若能拉动纸价回归合理水平,龙头企业盈利估值弹性较大。

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