摩根大通发表报告指,汇丰控股股价自2025年第二季业绩公布后下跌5.1%,表现逊于同期恒生指数(下跌3.6%),尽管剔除一次性项目的税前利润超出市场预期10%。该行认为,市场失望情绪部分源于对交通银行意外减值10亿美元的担忧。 该行维持对汇丰的积极看法,第一是其仍持有140亿美元的资本门槛扣减余额,这意味着即使关联公司即对交行进一步减值高达140亿美元,对股息、资本和股票回购的影响也将有限;其次,管理层对其数字资产策略提供了一些指引,显示银行正为全球数字资产扩张加速的潜在颠覆做好准备;第三,收入表现比预期更具韧性。该行将目标价由118港元上调至122港元,评级“增持”,同时估计未来12个月总股东回报率将达到9.7%,在粤港澳大湾区金融机构中居首。
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