金吾财讯 | 招银国际认为广东省新订立的快递包裹每件1.4元人民币的底价，是遏制快递行业价格战的有力举措。更重要的是，作为包裹数量和收入最大的省份，广东省将树立快递行业中“反内卷化”的良好示范，并可能推动更多省份效仿（根据国家邮政局，广东省占中国快递总量约 25%(1H25)，其次是浙江（17%）和江苏（8%））。该机构重申，本轮快递行业“反内卷化”运动将与2021年类似，将推动单票价格上涨，成为未来3-6个月的利好催化剂。中通快递（2057 HK / ZTO US，买入）目前交易在2025年预测市盈率14倍（历史平均市盈率为22倍），该机构认为具有吸引力。
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