Odaily星球日报讯 CryptoQuant 指出,比特币在上月创下 123,000 美元历史新高后,正显现短期盘整或温和下行风险迹象。该公司在周四发布的报告中表示,比特币已进入牛市冷却期,看涨指数从 80 降至 60。虽然整体环境仍属积极,但上涨动能正在减弱。
CryptoQuant 的看涨指数通过多项链上指标评估比特币市场强度,数值接近 100 代表强劲买盘和看涨情绪,接近零则预示沉重卖压。
CryptoQuant 分析称,当前 60 的指数值仍处于看涨区间,但动能持续消退。指数回落既反映创历史新高后的获利了结,也包含夏季交易活动的季节性放缓。报告特别警告,若价格进一步走弱,该指标可能跌入负值区域,使看涨指数自 2023 年 4 月以来首次跌破 40——这将正式确认市场转入熊市。
CryptoQuant 研究主管 Julio Moreno 补充表示:“美联储 9 月会议降息可能成为新催化剂,这符合市场普遍预期。”(TheBlock)
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