中金发表报告，下调小米集团(1810.HK)目标价9%至70港元，对应2025及2026年经调整净利润市盈率34.4倍及25.1倍，维持“跑赢行业”评级。 中金预期小米第二季经调整净利润同比增64.84%至101.79亿元，营业额料升32.71%至1179.67亿元，预计手机收入跌1.6%至457.92亿元，考虑拉美等低毛利市场占比提升及竞争因素，手机毛利率或将同比及环比下降0.6个百分点及0.9个百分点，至11.5%。 中金又预计IoT收入升36%至363.94亿元，毛利率同比增3.3个百分点至23%，环比下降2.2个百分点，因618大促产品价格下降及行业竞争加剧。互联网业务收入升11%至91.75亿元；毛利率跌至76%。 至于次季小米SU7交付量料达8.1万辆，对应收入259.2亿元，毛利率环比升 1个百分点至24.2%。展望下半年随汽车工厂二期产能释放，YU7量产速度加快，看好汽车交付量持续增长。
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