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To own shares of Andersons, investors need confidence that the company can convert large-scale agribusiness and ethanol operations into consistent earnings growth, despite exposure to commodity and regulatory cycles. The recent Q2 results, showing higher sales but significantly reduced net income, bring margin pressure into focus but do not materially change the biggest short-term catalyst, full control of ethanol assets and potential regulatory tailwinds, or the chief risk, which is ongoing earnings volatility in core grain and renewables segments. The most relevant recent announcement was Andersons' completion of its ethanol plant acquisition, which aligns with its push to capture regulatory benefits from low-carbon fuel policies. However, Q2’s lower profits illustrate that these investments have yet to offset margin compression, showing the ongoing challenge of translating volume and ownership gains into bottom-line stability. But while the ethanol opportunity remains, investors should be aware of the contrasting risk that persistent margin pressure could...
Read the full narrative on Andersons (it's free!)
Andersons' narrative projects $13.3 billion revenue and $186.7 million earnings by 2028. This requires 4.8% yearly revenue growth and a $106.1 million earnings increase from $80.6 million today.
Uncover how Andersons' forecasts yield a $46.67 fair value, a 29% upside to its current price.
Five Simply Wall St Community fair value estimates for Andersons range widely, from US$18.52 to US$59.24 per share. While some see upside, recent earnings volatility reminds you to weigh both short-term risks and longer-term potential before deciding.
Explore 5 other fair value estimates on Andersons - why the stock might be worth 49% less than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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