大行评级|瑞银:上调华虹半导体目标价至22.5港元 维持“沽售”评级

格隆汇
Aug 08, 2025

瑞银发表研究报告指,华虹半导体次季销售额按季增5%至5.66亿美元,符合指引,受晶圆出货量按季增6%推动;毛利率10.9%,优于指引,主因产能利用率提升,当中电源管理芯片(PMIC)为最主要增长引擎。另外,华虹半导体第三季指引亦超出预期,管理层料销售额为6.2亿至6.4亿美元,毛利率10至12%,并预期稳健需求将延续至第四季;该行料第三及四季销售分别按季增13%及2%,电源管理芯片需求强劲。 集团将毛利率稳健表现归因于成本管控与轻微加价,但表示随着12寸晶圆厂Fab 9项目持续扩产,折旧费用将攀升。虽然次季部分产品价格有单位数升幅,该行认为仍不足以抵消厂房快速扩张带来的结构性毛利率压力。该行料华虹2025年第三季及第四季毛利率均为11.9%,并估计2026年首季、第二季、第三季及第四季毛利率各为7.4%、7.9%、9.2%及9.2%。基于折旧快速增加,以及产业供过于求限制加价空间,该行将对华虹的毛利率与股本回报率(ROE)前景维持审慎观点,目标价由20港元上调至22.5港元,维持“沽售”评级。

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