黄金行情走势分析:
8月5日,黄金的大扫荡行情仍在持续演绎:7月底突破3375打破小区间震荡,多头加速拉升至3439;随后单边下跌,最低触及3268一线止跌;非农日暴涨80余美元,昨日多头延续冲高。短短十多个交易日内,行情从直线上涨到直线下跌,再到当前的多头直接上攻,节奏切换之快凸显大扫荡特征。
非农当天我们坚定看多反弹,昨日亦倾向于依托3345及3330支撑继续上攻,上方关注3375区域阻力——而实际多头的上涨幅度与速度均超出预期。对于后续走势,我们主思路仍倾向于“冲高再跌”;当然,不排除3268成为新一轮上涨起点、后市冲击3500历史新高的可能性(此为备选方案)。但综合来看,多空拉锯的大扫荡格局仍是主基调,且月线层面偏向冲高回落的信号未改。
既然大扫荡行情延续,操作上需聚焦关键阻力位布局高空:今日重点关注3400-05区域,其次是3415区域,这两个位置均是前期多头多次冲击未果的压制区,可作为高空布局的核心参考。
盘中短期阻力需留意昨日高点3386区域,若此处承压,可能先引发一波回调。下方支撑体系中,3370区域是日内强弱分界线,一旦跌落则空头掌握主动;进一步支撑看向3356-55区域,而3340-45区域作为前期多次企稳反弹的关键位置,是多头防守的核心阵地,需重点关注。
责任编辑:陈平
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