BlockBeats 消息，8 月 12 日，市场普遍预期 7 月 CPI 环比 +0.2%、同比 2.8%，核心 CPI 环比 +0.3%、同比 3.0%。无论数据“偏热”或“偏冷”，都可能引发不同方向但同样剧烈的市场反应，对股汇债及风险资产短期构成双向风险。
Bitunix 分析师建议：BTC 120k–123k 为明显高密度供给区，上方卖压集中；下方 116k 与 112k 为次级支撑。若无量突破上方供给，则容易被拒而回落。若数据偏冷（利好降息预期），需观察美元与美债走势，若 BTC 日线放量并突破供给区间，则有望打开新一轮上行空间。若数据偏热（压缩降息概率），且 BTC 在 120k–123k 遭遇阻力或日线失守 117k，则倾向更深度回调。若无明确方向，可保持观望或采用小仓位期权对冲，严格移动止损，并关注成交量、DXY 与美债收益率作为辅助确认指标。
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