大摩:降国泰航空盈利预测 下调目标价至10.8港元 维持“与大市同步”评级

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Aug 08
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  摩根士丹利发布研报称,基于国泰航空(00293)今年上半年业绩表现,将2025至2027年净利润预测分别下调7%、5%及7%,主要反映客运收益率预测下调,部分被成本控制改善所抵销;

  同时上调资本支出预测,目标价由12.1港元下调至10.8港元。在营运前景存在不确定性下,该行维持国泰航空“与大市同步”评级,7%股息收益率或可限制下行风险。

  该行指,若日本及泰国航线需求复苏优于预期,继而支持收益率表现,或会转向更积极看法。而中美贸易前景亦是变动因素,将影响货运业务势头。另外,该行考虑到燃油成本占国泰航空总成本约30%,油价走势亦是重要观察指标。

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