大行评级|瑞银:维持金蝶国际“买入”评级 指云订阅收入应是推动收入增长关键

格隆汇
Aug 12, 2025

瑞银研究报告指出,金蝶国际上半年业绩发布后,管理层宣布2030年目标包括:AI收入占总收入30%,同时实现双位数百分比的总收入增长;营运现金流达到30亿元。瑞银表示,云订阅收入应是金蝶国际推动收入增长的关键,预计最终将占其总收入的80%至90%,全球收入在3至5年内将占总收入的5%至10%。管理层对AI+SaaS为金蝶提供强大顺风表示信心,致力于在成功转型为云订阅业务模式后,成为企业管理人工智能(EMAI)的全球领导者。 瑞银表示,对金蝶国际2025年净利润指引保持不变,预计实现收支平衡,营运现金流将超过10亿元。管理层认为,短期内可实现8%的营运利润率,长期目标为15%至20%。瑞银在金蝶国际发布业绩后微调模型,目标价从21.8港元微调至21.5港元,基于2026年预测企业价值/销售额8倍;并基于双位数百分比收入增长及利润率改善,维持“买入”评级。

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