《大行》大摩降新秀丽(01910.HK)目标价至24元 料第三季销售跌幅收窄

阿斯达克财经
Aug 12

摩根士丹利研究报告指,美国行业数据反映次季航空旅游业表现一般,预期新秀丽(01910.HK) 次季销售额将跌7%,与首季跌幅相若。分区域而言,预期亚洲及美国将录得高单位数跌幅,欧洲则大致持平。该行料EBITDA利润率为16.8%,因销售疲弱导致毛利率下跌及营运开支上升,预期EBITDA跌幅收窄至17%。
至于今年下半年,部分欧美航空公司表示第三季预订需求有所改善,7、8月出行趋势回升。美国运输安全管理局(TSA)公布的旅客吞吐量第三季至今按年升逾1%,相较次季为下跌1%。由于基数较低,该行预计下半年新秀丽销售跌幅将收窄至2%。

该行将2025至27年销售预测下调5至6%,EBITDA预测下调10%至14%,而2025年收入及EBITDA预测分别下调4%和12%,料2026至27年将逐步恢复。因应盈利预测下调,目标价由28元降至24元,予“增持”评级。(ss/da)(港股报价延迟最少十五分钟。沽空资料截至 2025-08-12 12:25。)

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