Bitunix分析师:穆迪警告衰退疑虑升温,BTC冲上高密度供给带,操作以风控与等量分批为主

Blockbeats
Aug 11, 2025

BlockBeats 消息,8 月 11 日,穆迪警告超过半数产业已出现裁员迹象,经济转折风险上升,上个月的非农业就业人数仅增加了 7.3 万,远低于约 10 万的预测。同时,5 月份的统计数据从 14.4 万下修至 1.9 万,若就业数据再被下修,市场避险情绪可迅速放大。此类宏观不确定性会放大加密资产短线振幅与资金轮动。

BTC 价格近期已快速从 112k 上攻至接近 123k,且 122k–123k 区间出现卖压。若突破伴随成交量扩张,上方 124k、127k 为下一批供给关卡。

Bitunix 分析师建议:BTC 现阶段以等待确认为主。若 BTC 能放量突破并站稳 120k(日线收盘确认),下个目标将在 124,000 与 127,000。若在 120k 被拒或出现高位长上影,或再次测试 116k–114k。建议投资者每笔仓位止损不超过净资金的 5–8%,采分批入场与移动止损;密切追踪明日公布的 CPI 与穆迪后续报告,宏观突发消息可能瞬间改变市场方向。

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