大行评级|交银国际:中芯国际次季业绩强于指引 微升H股目标价至47港元

格隆汇
Aug 12, 2025

交银国际表示,中芯国际次季业绩强于指引,收入按季降1.7%,毛利率20.4%,高于该行预期和指引上限。该行认为驱动公司业绩好于预期的主要因素是8英寸产品的增长。管理层指引第三季收入恢复按季增长5%至7%,而毛利率18%至20%的指引与管理层之前给出的次季指引一致。管理层提到前三季度客户或已经提前建立库存,预计第四季急单和备货需求或放缓,但至少到10月公司产能依旧供不应求,管理层将继续收集客户反馈以评估。 该行测算,中芯上半年新增12英寸月产能1.9万片,预测第三季继续新增1.1万片月产能,平均售价虽高于次季,但仍略低于首季;预测中芯2025及2026年收入分别达92.9亿和110亿美元,毛利率为20.5%和21%。该行保持之前对公司目前的估值水平或充分反映基本面的看法,维持“中性”评级,H股目标价由45港元微升至47港元,对应2.1倍2026年市净率。

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