The author is a Reuters Breakingviews columnist. The opinions expressed are his own.
By Ka Sing Chan
HONG KONG, Aug 15 (Reuters Breakingviews) - Cleaning up a big messy house requires a big mop and great determination. China needs both. Its excess real estate inventory has risen to a record. This suggests that piecemeal efforts to tackle the problem are not working. It explains why Beijing may overrun a 15-year ban and allow key state firms to go back into the property market.
Since May last year, Beijing has rolled out a raft of measures to stop what is now a five-year housing slump. These include mobilising local governments to acquire unsold homes from distressed developers and convert them into public housing. Progress has been slow. The size of completed but unsold residential properties rose 6.5% in the year to the end of June to 408 million square metres, per government data. And that may not mark the final extent of it: residential properties under construction amounted to 441 million square metres in the same period.
Regulators are now mulling whether to wield yet another little mop. Citing people familiar with the matter, Bloomberg reported on August 14 that Beijing is considering asking some of the biggest state-owned enterprises, as well as managers of problem assets such as Cinda Asset Management 1359.HK, to join the clean-up.
The move almost sounds like a reversal of a directive announced in 2010 to bar most of the 100 or so central government-owned SOEs from taking on real estate businesses. These state behemoths, from financial conglomerate China Resources to telecom operator China Mobile 600941.SS, are financially much stronger than most cash-strapped local governments. They sit on over 90 trillion yuan ($12.5 trillion) of assets, and their combined net profit topped 2.6 trillion last year, according to state asset manager Sasac. It is unlikely that Beijing will allow its most important firms to take on too much property risk.
The central bank last year set up a 300 billion yuan ($42 billion) facility to help local governments acquire unoccupied apartments. Only 6% has been drawn so far, per Bloomberg. That indicates that the bulk of the inventory is financially unattractive. Allowing state firms to come to the same conclusion will do little, if anything, to help tidy up.
CONTEXT NEWS
China is preparing to mobilise companies owned by the central government to purchase unsold homes from distressed property developers, Bloomberg reported on August 14, citing people familiar with the matter.
The size of completed but unsold residential properties at the end of June had climbed 6.5% in a year to 408 million square metres, according to the National Bureau of Statistics.
China's unsold residential inventory is still climbing https://www.reuters.com/graphics/BRV-BRV/mypmxjddrvr/chart.png
(Editing by Antony Currie; Production by Ujjaini Dutta)
((For previous columns by the author, Reuters customers can click on CHAN/ KaSing.Chan@thomsonreuters.com))